Antwerpvs
St. Truiden
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antwerp · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antwerp 1-4 St. Truiden
Original prediction
Antwerp
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 40.4% | 45.8% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.7% | 25.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.9% | 29.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Antwerp
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Antwerp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20