GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 7/30/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antwerp · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Antwerp are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Cercle Brugge are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Antwerp hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Antwerp holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antwerp

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Antwerp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntwerpWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Cercle BruggeLWDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
AntwerpCercle Brugge
83.3Attack83.3
83.3Defence16.7
100.0Form33.3
89.7Power48.3
2.28xG1.23
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