Antonianovs
Sevilla Atletico
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevilla Atletico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antoniano 3-3 Sevilla Atletico
Original prediction
Sevilla Atletico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.4% | 30.8% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 28.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.1% | 41.2% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Sevilla Atletico
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Sevilla Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80