GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antoniano · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Antoniano 0-0 Mijas Las Lagunas, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Antoniano 1-1 Mijas Las Lagunas

Original prediction

Antoniano

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6953.1%38.1%-15.0 pts
Draw3.3227.0%30.6%3.5 pts
Away4.5119.9%31.4%11.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.0 pts

Projected Score

Antoniano 0–0 Mijas Las Lagunas

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Antoniano

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Antoniano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntonianoDLDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mijas Las LagunasDLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
AntonianoMijas Las Lagunas
31.4Attack50.0
60.8Defence50.0
45.1Form50.0
47.9Power50.0
0.86xG0.93
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