Antonianovs
Don Benito
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Antoniano 0-0 Don Benito, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Antoniano 1-2 Don Benito
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.2% | 35.0% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.5% | 31.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.3% | 33.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Antoniano 0–0 Don Benito
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AntonianoDWLDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Don BenitoLLWDD
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AntonianoDon Benito
31.4Attack50.0
60.8Defence50.0
45.1Form50.0
47.9Power50.0
0.85xG0.92