Antonianovs
Ciudad de Lucena
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Antoniano 0-0 Ciudad de Lucena, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Antoniano 0-3 Ciudad de Lucena
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 39.8% | 35.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 30.7% | 31.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 29.5% | 33.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Antoniano 0–0 Ciudad de Lucena
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AntonianoDDLDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ciudad de LucenaLDDLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AntonianoCiudad de Lucena
31.4Attack33.3
60.8Defence66.7
45.1Form33.3
47.9Power45.3
0.89xG0.92