Antofagastavs
San Marcos de Arica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Antofagasta 0-0 San Marcos de Arica, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Antofagasta 3-0 San Marcos de Arica
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.5% | 41.3% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 30.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.9% | 28.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Projected Score
Antofagasta 0–0 San Marcos de Arica
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20