Antofagastavs
Recoleta
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antofagasta 1-2 Recoleta
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.7% | 61.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.9% | 21.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.4% | 17.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40