Antofagastavs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Antofagasta 1-0 Curico Unido, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Antofagasta 4-0 Curico Unido
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.2% | 58.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.6% | 23.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.61 | 16.2% | 17.9% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Antofagasta 1–0 Curico Unido
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AntofagastaDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Curico UnidoDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AntofagastaCurico Unido
56.0Attack31.0
69.0Defence50.0
53.6Form36.9
59.2Power41.9
1.88xG0.50