GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/5/2025, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

75.8%

Model confidence

75.8%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaDWLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Turrialba FcDLLLW

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AntioquiaTurrialba Fc
55.2Attack28.1
36.5Defence10.4
40.6Form18.8
44.1Power22.4
3.09xG0.93
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