GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/3/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

75.8%

Model confidence

75.8%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AntioquiaTurrialba Fc
55.2Attack28.1
36.5Defence10.4
40.6Form18.8
44.1Power22.4
3.09xG0.93
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