Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Antioquia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60