GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/8/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaLWLWW

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Quepos CambuteWLLWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AntioquiaQuepos Cambute
55.2Attack66.7
36.5Defence66.7
40.6Form50.0
44.1Power57.3
1.59xG1.91
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