Antioquiavs
Puerto Golfito
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Antioquia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Puerto Golfito are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 9.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Antioquia
Probability
78.6%
Model confidence
78.6%
Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60