GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/10/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaLDWLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Marineros de PuntarenasWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaMarineros de Puntarenas
55.2Attack61.8
36.5Defence59.8
40.6Form55.9
44.1Power59.1
1.38xG2.25
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