GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/27/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Limón Black StarLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AntioquiaLimón Black Star
55.2Attack53.9
36.5Defence64.7
40.6Form57.8
44.1Power59.1
1.21xG1.97
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