Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jacó are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Antioquia
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20