GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/27/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaDLDLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Escorpiones BelénWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaEscorpiones Belén
55.2Attack76.7
36.5Defence42.5
40.6Form58.3
44.1Power58.9
1.96xG2.80
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