GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/27/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaCS Uruguay
55.2Attack33.3
36.5Defence50.0
40.6Form16.7
44.1Power36.5
1.83xG1.56
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