AntioquiavsCariari Pococi

Antioquia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.