GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/29/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while AS Puma Generalena are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 7.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

69.8%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaLLDLW

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AS Puma GeneralenaLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
AntioquiaAS Puma Generalena
55.2Attack4.8
36.5Defence0.0
40.6Form0.0
44.1Power7.7
2.85xG1.07
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