GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/2/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaWLDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ADR JicaralWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AntioquiaADR Jicaral
55.2Attack33.3
36.5Defence100.0
40.6Form100.0
44.1Power80.3
1.51xG1.87
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