Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Antioquia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60