GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/26/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AD CofutpaDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AntioquiaAD Cofutpa
55.2Attack33.3
36.5Defence33.3
40.6Form0.0
44.1Power23.7
1.96xG1.56
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