GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/26/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD CofutpaDDLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaAD Cofutpa
55.2Attack33.3
36.5Defence33.3
40.6Form0.0
44.1Power23.7
1.96xG1.56
View match centre →