GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/21/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.1 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AntioquiaAD Carmelita
55.2Attack66.7
36.5Defence33.3
40.6Form33.3
44.1Power45.3
1.83xG1.78
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