GGOALVIO

Antioquia logoAntioquiavsAD Carmelita logoAD Carmelita

COMPLETED

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Antioquia are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.1 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AntioquiaDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.75/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
AD CarmelitaDLWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaAD Carmelita
55.2Attack66.7
36.5Defence33.3
40.6Form33.3
44.1Power45.3
1.83xG1.78
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