Antigua GFCvs
Xelajú
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xelajú · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antigua GFC 3-0 Xelajú
Original prediction
Xelajú
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.2% | 37.1% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 22.2% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.2% | 40.7% | 19.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Xelajú
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Xelajú has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Antigua GFCDWDLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
XelajúWLWLW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Antigua GFCXelajú
56.4Attack69.2
51.3Defence59.0
59.0Form53.8
57.0Power59.8
1.48xG1.85