Antigua GFCvs
Suchitepéquez
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antigua GFC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antigua GFC 3-2 Suchitepéquez
Original prediction
Antigua GFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.1% | 63.4% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18.1% | 21.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 10.28 | 8.8% | 15.4% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Antigua GFC
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Antigua GFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00