Antigua GFCvs
Cobán Imperial
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/12/2026, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antigua GFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antigua GFC 2-1 Cobán Imperial
Original prediction
Antigua GFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.6% | 56.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 21.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.0% | 21.7% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Antigua GFC
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Antigua GFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00