Antigua and Barbudavs
Anguilla
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antigua and Barbuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antigua and Barbuda 5-0 Anguilla
Original prediction
Antigua and Barbuda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 82.8% | 56.2% | -26.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.78 | 11.8% | 20.2% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 16.91 | 5.4% | 23.5% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Antigua and Barbuda
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Antigua and Barbuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00