Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Antequera 0-0 Ibiza, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Antequera 3-2 Ibiza
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.1% | 35.3% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.8% | 30.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.1% | 33.8% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Antequera 0–0 Ibiza
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AntequeraLWWWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IbizaWWLWL
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AntequeraIbiza
41.2Attack38.6
61.4Defence66.7
49.1Form43.9
52.6Power50.5
0.89xG0.81