Antequeravs
FC Cartagena
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antequera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antequera 1-1 FC Cartagena
Original prediction
Antequera
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 36.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 30.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.9% | 33.2% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Antequera
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Antequera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60