Antalyasporvs
Vanspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antalyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antalyaspor 3-0 Vanspor FK
Original prediction
Antalyaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.5% | 54.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.7% | 22.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.8% | 23.2% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Antalyaspor
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Antalyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60