Antalyasporvs
Sivasspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antalyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antalyaspor 1-2 Sivasspor
Original prediction
Antalyaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.4% | 44.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.5% | 26.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 30.1% | 29.5% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Antalyaspor
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Antalyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60