Antalyasporvs
Sarıyer
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antalyaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antalyaspor 1-2 Sarıyer
Original prediction
Antalyaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.9% | 42.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 28.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.8% | 28.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Antalyaspor
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Antalyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60