Antalyasporvs
Kayserispor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kayserispor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antalyaspor 0-4 Kayserispor
Original prediction
Kayserispor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.3% | 28.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 28.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Kayserispor
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60