Anstey Nomadsvs
Macclesfield
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anstey Nomads · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anstey Nomads 0-3 Macclesfield
Original prediction
Anstey Nomads
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 October 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.9% | 43.8% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 23.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.3% | 32.3% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Anstey Nomads
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Anstey Nomads has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40