Anstey Nomadsvs
Banbury United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anstey Nomads · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anstey Nomads 3-0 Banbury United
Original prediction
Anstey Nomads
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.3% | 50.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 25.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.5% | 24.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Anstey Nomads
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Anstey Nomads has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60