Ansbachvs
Schwaben Augsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schwaben Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ansbach 1-2 Schwaben Augsburg
Original prediction
Schwaben Augsburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.6% | 31.6% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 26.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.7% | 42.3% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Schwaben Augsburg
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Schwaben Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40