Ansbachvs
Nürnberg II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nürnberg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ansbach 0-1 Nürnberg II
Original prediction
Nürnberg II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.42 | 20.6% | 23.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.8% | 24.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.5% | 51.8% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Nürnberg II
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Nürnberg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20