Ansan Greenersvs
Hwaseong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hwaseong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ansan Greeners 0-2 Hwaseong
Original prediction
Hwaseong
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.07 | 18.1% | 15.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.3% | 21.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.7% | 63.7% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Hwaseong
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Hwaseong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60