Ansan Greenersvs
Daegu FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 8/28/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daegu FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ansan Greeners 1-2 Daegu FC
Original prediction
Daegu FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.24 | 14.6% | 14.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.9% | 17.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 65.5% | 68.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Daegu FC
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
Daegu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60