Ansan Greenersvs
Cheongju
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cheongju · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ansan Greeners 2-3 Cheongju
Original prediction
Cheongju
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 25.4% | 30.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.8% | 26.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.8% | 43.0% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Cheongju
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Cheongju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20