Anápolisvs
Santa Cruz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Anápolis 0-0 Santa Cruz, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Anápolis 1-1 Santa Cruz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.2% | 26.0% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.9% | 34.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.9% | 39.3% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.86 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Anápolis 0–0 Santa Cruz
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AnápolisWLWWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CruzWLDLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AnápolisSanta Cruz
29.6Attack35.2
61.1Defence74.1
33.3Form51.9
43.0Power55.9
0.47xG0.78