Anorthosisvs
Pafos
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anorthosis 1-3 Pafos
Original prediction
Pafos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.77 | 16.0% | 23.9% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.5% | 26.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 61.5% | 50.0% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AnorthosisWLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PafosLWDWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
AnorthosisPafos
25.0Attack33.3
25.0Defence83.3
25.0Form58.3
29.5Power58.9
0.93xG1.50