Anorthosisvs
Apoel Nicosia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apoel Nicosia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anorthosis 2-1 Apoel Nicosia
Original prediction
Apoel Nicosia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.24 | 21.6% | 21.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.6% | 26.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.8% | 52.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Apoel Nicosia
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Apoel Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60