Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Annecy 0-0 Nancy, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Annecy 1-2 Nancy
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.8% | 33.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.8% | 31.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.4% | 34.8% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Annecy 0–0 Nancy
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AnnecyWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NancyWLWLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AnnecyNancy
41.7Attack37.5
62.5Defence70.8
54.2Form54.2
55.2Power56.6
0.89xG0.84