Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Annecy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Metz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metz hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Ligue 2, while Metz holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
13.1%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20