Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annecy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annecy 1-1 Metz
Original prediction
Annecy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 36.4% | 38.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.3% | 29.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 34.3% | 32.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Annecy
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Annecy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AnnecyLWWDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MetzDDWLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AnnecyMetz
44.4Attack33.3
66.7Defence77.8
66.7Form55.6
61.0Power59.1
1.16xG0.95