Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Annecy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Guingamp are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guingamp hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80